Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -188 WASH +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +20 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -5.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -5.4 (+14.6) | 142.2 (+19.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -4.8 (+15.2) | 140.0 (+22.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -6.9 (+13.1) | 142.4 (+19.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -5.8 (+14.2) | 142.3 (+19.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | WASH 67 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WASH 79 – 72 ORST |
| Feb 19, 2023 | WASH 61 – 47 ORST |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORST 66 – 65 WASH |
| Mar 6, 2022 | WASH 78 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-6 | 4-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#149) | -2.2 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#136) | -0.88 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#119) | -0.96 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#162) | 0.470 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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