Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | GB -225 IUIN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -6.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -4.6 (-13.6) | 147.2 (+3.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -3.8 (-12.8) | 146.3 (+4.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -4.9 (-13.9) | 149.3 (+1.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -4.6 (-13.6) | 147.6 (+3.4) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | GB 75 – 59 IUIN |
| Dec 11, 2025 | GB 85 – 75 IUIN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | IUIN 86 – 77 GB |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IUIN 84 – 75 GB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | GB 79 – 56 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-6 | 3-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#272) | -9.9 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#284) | -1.03 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#262) | -1.71 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#264) | 0.458 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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