Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -120 CIN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -0.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.7 (-4.7) | 138.1 (-15.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -0.0 (-3.0) | 137.5 (-14.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.4 (-4.4) | 139.3 (-16.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -1.9 (-4.9) | 137.7 (-14.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | CIN 84 – 54 TEM |
| Feb 23, 2023 | CIN 88 – 83 TEM |
| Jan 1, 2023 | TEM 70 – 61 CIN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | TEM 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 26, 2022 | TEM 61 – 58 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-11 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 3-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 2-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#156) | 3.5 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#91) | 0.42 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#93) | 0.85 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.503 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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