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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–12 on winners
spread MAE 8.3
24 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LSU
@
Alabama
|
+6.6 | 157.6 | 78% | 60–78 | ✓ |
Virginia Tech
@
Pittsburgh
|
-1.6 | 137.1 | 48% | 72–83 | ✗ |
Kentucky
@
Missouri
|
+4.7 | 141.0 | 73% | 70–75 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
La Salle
|
-10.5 | 143.6 | 24% | 75–82 | ✗ |
Seton Hall
@
Providence
|
+0.7 | 142.1 | 56% | 60–43 | ✗ |
VCU
@
Rhode Island
|
+0.6 | 137.2 | 49% | 63–62 | ✗ |
VMI
@
Wofford
|
+5.6 | 146.3 | 71% | 84–80 | ✗ |
Chattanooga
@
Western Carolina
|
-0.5 | 144.0 | 47% | 74–67 | ✓ |
East Tennessee State
@
Mercer
|
-0.2 | 141.7 | 44% | 70–64 | ✓ |
UNC Greensboro
@
The Citadel
|
-4.3 | 155.3 | 25% | 85–66 | ✓ |
Western Michigan
@
Bowling Green
|
+10.1 | 141.8 | 83% | 76–70 | ✗ |
Incarnate Word
@
Lamar
|
+1.1 | 136.3 | 48% | 67–58 | ✗ |
Tulane
@
Wichita State
|
+8.0 | 140.1 | 80% | 67–75 | ✓ |
UCF
@
Memphis
|
+7.9 | 138.0 | 79% | 61–75 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
-10.3 | 139.3 | 16% | 84–75 | ✓ |
Villanova
@
St. John's
|
-4.1 | 144.9 | 34% | 59–70 | ✗ |
Virginia
@
NC State
|
-4.4 | 131.1 | 32% | 64–57 | ✓ |
Georgetown
@
Creighton
|
+10.5 | 147.3 | 83% | 86–79 | ✗ |
SMU
@
Tulsa
|
+0.0 | 132.9 | 49% | 65–63 | ✗ |
Oklahoma State
@
TCU
|
-3.2 | 143.1 | 39% | 78–81 | ✗ |
Tennessee State
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
+3.0 | 134.4 | 66% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Wagner
@
St. Francis Brooklyn
|
+0.7 | 145.2 | 53% | 74–67 | ✗ |
Saint Francis
@
Merrimack
|
+2.0 | 140.3 | 63% | 62–68 | ✓ |
South Carolina Upstate
@
Radford
|
+10.1 | 135.2 | 84% | 61–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.