Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -800 GTWN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +7 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -14.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -11.7 (-18.7) | 147.1 (+17.9) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -10.5 (-17.5) | 147.3 (+17.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -12.4 (-19.4) | 146.7 (+18.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -11.5 (-18.5) | 145.4 (+19.6) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#18) | 3.0 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#29) | 0.43 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#27) | 0.48 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#71) | 0.493 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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