Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TCU +200 OKST -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -4.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -3.9 (+6.9) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -3.2 (+6.2) | 143.1 (+15.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -4.7 (+7.7) | 144.7 (+14.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -4.0 (+7.0) | 143.8 (+15.2) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | 10.6 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#52) | 2.82 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#74) | 4.00 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#80) | 0.606 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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