← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
15–6 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
21 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baylor
@
Texas
|
-4.0 | 145.8 | 29% | 83–69 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
Iowa
|
+13.5 | 159.8 | 84% | 78–84 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Ole Miss
|
-3.4 | 123.4 | 48% | 50–52 | ✗ |
West Virginia
@
Iowa State
|
-11.6 | 147.0 | 16% | 76–72 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Jacksonville State
|
+0.7 | 154.3 | 44% | 86–82 | ✗ |
South Carolina State
@
North Carolina Central
|
+15.7 | 147.6 | 90% | 63–64 | ✓ |
North Carolina
@
Clemson
|
-0.3 | 129.6 | 58% | 50–63 | ✗ |
Georgia
@
Auburn
|
+6.6 | 157.8 | 73% | 91–86 | ✗ |
Akron
@
Toledo
|
+5.6 | 151.5 | 73% | 76–91 | ✓ |
Kansas State
@
Kansas
|
+14.1 | 131.5 | 89% | 51–74 | ✓ |
Morgan State
@
Coppin State
|
-3.9 | 158.9 | 37% | 95–82 | ✓ |
Penn State
@
Wisconsin
|
+3.3 | 139.7 | 68% | 56–72 | ✓ |
Illinois
@
Indiana
|
-3.5 | 145.7 | 42% | 75–71 | ✓ |
USC
@
Stanford
|
-1.1 | 143.2 | 43% | 72–66 | ✓ |
UNLV
@
Nevada
|
+4.1 | 140.1 | 75% | 62–72 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
Duquesne
|
+1.2 | 130.0 | 58% | 64–69 | ✓ |
Mississippi State
@
Arkansas
|
+6.0 | 142.1 | 78% | 45–61 | ✓ |
Elon
@
James Madison
|
+9.2 | 138.1 | 83% | 57–78 | ✓ |
Houston
@
East Carolina
|
-13.1 | 132.0 | 18% | 73–82 | ✗ |
Fordham
@
Massachusetts
|
+13.8 | 135.7 | 89% | 54–60 | ✓ |
South Carolina
@
Florida
|
+8.5 | 151.5 | 83% | 72–66 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.