Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ISU +550 WVU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -14.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -11.9 (+7.9) | 145.9 (+2.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -11.6 (+7.6) | 147.0 (+1.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -13.3 (+9.3) | 146.7 (+1.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -13.2 (+9.2) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ISU 80 – 59 WVU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WVU 64 – 57 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ISU 71 – 64 WVU |
| Feb 28, 2023 | WVU 72 – 69 ISU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WVU 76 – 71 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 11-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#225) | 12.9 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#263) | 2.82 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#271) | 3.51 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#217) | 0.642 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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