Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Big Ten Conference · Kohl Center · February 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -8.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money WIS -333 / PSU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual WIS +16 128 Won
Massey WIS -4.4 (+11.6) — —
Massey Totals — 145.3 (-17.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -5.4 (+10.6) 143.1 (-15.1) 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIS -3.3 (+12.7) 139.7 (-11.7) 68% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIS -4.8 (+11.2) 142.1 (-14.1) 72% ✓
Baseline ML WIS -5.9 (+10.1) 143.3 (-15.3) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 WIS 98 – 71 PSU
Mar 8, 2025 PSU 86 – 75 WIS
Jan 17, 2024 PSU 87 – 83 WIS
Feb 9, 2023 WIS 79 – 74 PSU
Jan 18, 2023 WIS 63 – 60 PSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS PSU
Overall 18-13 11-14
Conference 10-10 7-12
Home 11-5 7-5
Away 5-6 3-8
Neutral 2-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 72.6
Avg Pts Against 64.6 73.0
Massey 14.4 (#19) 12.6 (#30)
Bradley-Terry 2.60 (#24) 1.97 (#47)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.77 (#14) 3.23 (#30)
RPI 0.585 (#46) 0.578 (#54)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS PSU
FG% 43.7% 43.1%
3PT% 37.0% 36.6%
REB / G 35.0 36.2
OREB / G 7.9 12.6
AST / TO 1.54 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 50.3%
TOV% 13.2% 16.3%
ORB% 23.2% 33.1%
FT Rate 22.4% 20.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 19.8%
DRB% 77.7% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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