Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -110 DAY +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -0.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -0.4 (+4.6) | 130.3 (+2.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.2 (+3.8) | 130.0 (+3.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -0.7 (+4.3) | 129.3 (+3.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -0.9 (+4.1) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | DAY 78 – 66 DUQ |
| Jan 14, 2026 | DAY 71 – 65 DUQ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DAY 77 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 22, 2025 | DAY 82 – 62 DUQ |
| Mar 15, 2024 | DUQ 65 – 57 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#128) | 4.9 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#164) | 1.38 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#149) | 2.49 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#154) | 0.558 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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