Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 107.5 Under |
| Money | MISS +150 TENN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +2 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -5.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.4 (+6.4) | 123.2 (-21.2) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -3.4 (+5.4) | 123.4 (-21.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.2 (+5.2) | 126.7 (-24.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -3.8 (+5.8) | 124.8 (-22.8) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | TENN 84 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MISS 78 – 76 TENN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | TENN 90 – 64 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | TENN 70 – 55 MISS |
| Dec 28, 2022 | TENN 63 – 59 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#65) | 16.7 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#124) | 2.77 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#97) | 3.46 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#146) | 0.588 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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