Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | KU -2500 KSU +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +23 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | KU -19.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -15.6 (+7.4) | 137.3 (-12.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -14.1 (+8.9) | 131.5 (-6.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -16.5 (+6.5) | 135.9 (-10.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -16.3 (+6.7) | 136.1 (-11.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-12 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#31) | -4.4 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#11) | -0.55 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#23) | -0.90 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#15) | 0.475 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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