Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -450 ELON +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -11.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -9.9 (+11.1) | 140.4 (-5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -9.2 (+11.8) | 138.1 (-3.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -9.5 (+11.5) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -10.2 (+10.8) | 140.0 (-5.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | ELON 70 – 66 JMU |
| Jan 17, 2022 | ELON 90 – 67 JMU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | ELON 72 – 71 JMU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | JMU 70 – 61 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-2 |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#148) | -7.8 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#165) | -1.28 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#167) | -1.86 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#122) | 0.425 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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