Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +23 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -3.6 (+26.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -4.5 (+27.5) | 144.2 (+12.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -3.0 (+26.0) | 141.2 (+15.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -4.3 (+27.3) | 143.1 (+13.9) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -3.6 (+26.6) | 144.8 (+12.2) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | ELON 70 – 66 JMU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | ELON 72 – 71 JMU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | JMU 70 – 61 ELON |
| Feb 3, 2021 | JMU 78 – 57 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#276) | 0.8 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#300) | 0.73 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#293) | 0.67 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#274) | 0.526 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.9% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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