Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +225 JMU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -8.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -7.5 (-1.5) | 138.9 (-7.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -6.4 (-2.6) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -7.2 (-1.8) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -7.4 (-1.6) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | ELON 70 – 66 JMU |
| Jan 17, 2022 | ELON 90 – 67 JMU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | ELON 72 – 71 JMU |
| Feb 3, 2021 | JMU 78 – 57 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 13-7 |
| Conference | 4-7 | 8-2 |
| Home | 4-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#297) | 1.7 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#274) | 0.27 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#289) | 0.18 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#286) | 0.524 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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