Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -250 ELON +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -6.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -4.8 (-8.8) | 145.0 (-9.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -5.2 (-9.2) | 142.0 (-6.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -4.9 (-8.9) | 143.5 (-7.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -4.4 (-8.4) | 145.2 (-9.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2022 | ELON 90 – 67 JMU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | ELON 72 – 71 JMU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | JMU 70 – 61 ELON |
| Feb 3, 2021 | JMU 78 – 57 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#209) | -5.4 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#169) | -1.13 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#194) | -1.21 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#171) | 0.455 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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