Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -163 ELON +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -7.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -5.6 (-6.6) | 141.0 (+2.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -6.2 (-7.2) | 139.5 (+3.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -5.5 (-6.5) | 141.3 (+1.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -6.1 (-7.1) | 141.6 (+1.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | ELON 70 – 66 JMU |
| Jan 17, 2022 | ELON 90 – 67 JMU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | JMU 70 – 61 ELON |
| Feb 3, 2021 | JMU 78 – 57 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-2 |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | -3.6 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#142) | -0.42 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#157) | -0.69 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#94) | 0.486 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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