Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -333 SC +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -11.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -11.8 (-17.8) | 155.0 (-17.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -8.5 (-14.5) | 151.5 (-13.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -11.6 (-17.6) | 154.4 (-16.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -11.4 (-17.4) | 155.1 (-17.1) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | FLA 76 – 62 SC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FLA 95 – 48 SC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FLA 88 – 67 SC |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FLA 70 – 69 SC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC 82 – 76 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#23) | 4.7 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#32) | 0.60 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#36) | 0.95 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#18) | 0.521 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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