Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +124 MORG -146 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +13 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -6.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -2.6 (-10.4) | 158.7 (+18.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -3.9 (-9.1) | 158.9 (+18.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -3.1 (-9.9) | 158.0 (+19.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -3.0 (-10.0) | 158.8 (+18.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
Game Analysis
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