Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -125 EKU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -1.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -0.2 (-3.8) | 157.4 (+10.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.7 (-4.7) | 154.3 (+13.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -0.1 (-3.9) | 154.4 (+13.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -1.1 (-2.9) | 155.2 (+12.8) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | EKU 62 – 59 JXST |
| Dec 21, 2024 | JXST 91 – 80 EKU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | EKU 69 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | JXST 81 – 68 EKU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | JXST 76 – 65 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | 3.0 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#170) | 1.34 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#177) | 1.15 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#143) | 0.554 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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