I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Pete Mathews Coliseum · December 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -2.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money JXST -135 / EKU +114
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual EKU +3 121 Lost
Massey JXST -2.0 (-5.0)
Massey Totals 139.8 (-18.8)
Bradley-Terry 65%
Weighted B-T 67%
Efficiency Plus ML JXST -2.3 (-5.3) 135.6 (-14.6) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -2.0 (-5.0) 133.6 (-12.6) 53%
Baseline ML JXST -2.1 (-5.1) 134.0 (-13.0) 51%
Baseline Plus ML JXST -2.6 (-5.6) 133.5 (-12.5) 57%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 21, 2024 JXST 9180 EKU
Feb 3, 2023 EKU 6967 JXST
Feb 24, 2022 JXST 8168 EKU
Jan 16, 2022 JXST 7665 EKU
Feb 3, 2021 EKU 8682 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST EKU
Overall 15-17 11-21
Conference 10-10 7-11
Home 10-7 8-7
Away 5-8 3-13
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 69.9 77.5
Avg Pts Against 70.6 83.1
Massey -8.7 (#303) -6.3 (#272)
Bradley-Terry -1.97 (#316) -1.78 (#306)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.47 (#303) -2.28 (#293)
RPI 0.363 (#348) 0.470 (#227)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST EKU
FG% 38.4% 40.1%
3PT% 30.3% 30.3%
REB / G 37.7 37.2
OREB / G 11.7 13.3
AST / TO 1.24 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.9% 47.6%
TOV% 15.7% 18.5%
ORB% 28.9% 33.0%
FT Rate 19.3% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 56.1%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 14.5%
DRB% 74.3% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 31.4% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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