Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -110 JXST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +11 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -2.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.3 (-15.3) | 147.8 (+23.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -3.1 (-14.1) | 145.4 (+25.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -3.6 (-14.6) | 146.6 (+24.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.5 (-14.5) | 147.4 (+23.6) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | EKU 62 – 59 JXST |
| Feb 3, 2023 | EKU 69 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | JXST 81 – 68 EKU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | JXST 76 – 65 EKU |
| Feb 3, 2021 | EKU 86 – 82 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#174) | 1.1 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#176) | -0.57 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#151) | -0.67 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#190) | 0.487 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 10.4% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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