Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM +150 UNC -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +13 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -0.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -0.6 (+12.4) | 132.0 (-19.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -0.3 (+13.3) | 129.6 (-16.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -0.7 (+12.3) | 131.3 (-18.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -0.9 (+12.1) | 132.2 (-19.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 79 UNC |
| Mar 4, 2026 | UNC 67 – 63 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 65 UNC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLEM 80 – 76 UNC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNC 65 – 55 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#72) | 11.1 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#31) | 2.02 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#35) | 2.78 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#21) | 0.594 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 15.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 40.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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