Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -450 UGA +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +5 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -8.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -8.4 (-13.4) | 157.2 (+19.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -6.6 (-11.6) | 157.8 (+19.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -7.4 (-12.4) | 157.5 (+19.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -7.9 (-12.9) | 156.7 (+20.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#56) | 4.3 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#69) | 0.84 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#69) | 1.08 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#79) | 0.504 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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