Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -2000 SCST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -22.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -17.5 (-16.5) | 151.9 (-24.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -15.7 (-14.7) | 147.6 (-20.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -18.3 (-17.3) | 153.7 (-26.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -17.6 (-16.6) | 152.4 (-25.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SCST 80 – 64 NCCU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SCST 85 – 72 NCCU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SCST 88 – 67 NCCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SCST 87 – 71 NCCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NCCU 82 – 77 SCST |
Game Analysis
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