Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -110 UTC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -0.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -0.3 (-7.3) | 148.4 (-7.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -0.5 (-6.5) | 144.0 (-3.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.5 (-6.5) | 148.7 (-7.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -0.2 (-7.2) | 148.3 (-7.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 18-8 |
| Conference | 4-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#215) | -0.0 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#203) | 0.50 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#205) | 0.45 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#218) | 0.528 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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