Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -275 VMI +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -6.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.2 (-10.2) | 148.0 (+16.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.6 (-9.6) | 146.3 (+17.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -6.3 (-10.3) | 147.8 (+16.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.5 (-10.5) | 149.2 (+14.8) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#107) | 0.5 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#78) | -0.29 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#92) | -0.41 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#57) | 0.478 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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