Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +110 TNST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +8 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -3.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.1 (+4.9) | 135.2 (-7.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.0 (+5.0) | 134.4 (-6.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.5 (+5.5) | 136.3 (-8.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.3 (+4.7) | 134.0 (-6.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNST 80 – 53 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 66 TNST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SIUE 71 – 69 TNST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SIUE 84 – 72 TNST |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SIUE 87 – 80 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 4-19 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 2-8 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#307) | -10.3 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#287) | -3.03 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#295) | -3.57 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#243) | 0.345 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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