Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -175 UK +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -6.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -7.2 (-2.2) | 139.9 (+5.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -4.7 (+0.3) | 141.0 (+4.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -6.6 (-1.6) | 141.4 (+3.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -7.1 (-2.1) | 139.9 (+5.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | UK 78 – 72 MIZ |
| Jan 8, 2026 | MIZ 73 – 68 UK |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UK 91 – 83 MIZ |
| Jan 10, 2024 | UK 90 – 77 MIZ |
| Dec 29, 2022 | MIZ 89 – 75 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#31) | 8.4 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#14) | 0.82 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#21) | 1.74 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#5) | 0.527 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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