Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UK -900 MIZ +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -13.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -11.7 (-16.7) | 150.7 (-9.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -12.1 (-17.1) | 146.3 (-5.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -14.7 (-19.7) | 150.2 (-9.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -12.4 (-17.4) | 150.2 (-9.2) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | UK 78 – 72 MIZ |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UK 91 – 83 MIZ |
| Jan 10, 2024 | UK 90 – 77 MIZ |
| Dec 29, 2022 | MIZ 89 – 75 UK |
| Dec 30, 2021 | UK 83 – 56 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#19) | 7.6 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#55) | 1.89 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#39) | 2.63 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#91) | 0.534 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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