Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +700 SLU -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -11.7 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -9.0 (+16.0) | 144.9 (+12.1) | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -10.5 (+17.5) | 143.6 (+13.4) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -9.0 (+16.0) | 144.9 (+12.1) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -9.1 (+16.1) | 145.4 (+11.6) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SLU 82 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SLU 84 – 72 LAS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SLU 64 – 52 LAS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | SLU 102 – 84 LAS |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SLU 84 – 71 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 14-7 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 6-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#188) | 12.8 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#167) | 1.47 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#172) | 2.16 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#174) | 0.532 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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