Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -175 FDU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -10.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -9.6 (-17.6) | 155.5 (-7.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -8.7 (-16.7) | 155.1 (-7.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -8.3 (-16.3) | 156.3 (-8.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -8.5 (-16.5) | 156.2 (-8.2) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | -6.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#121) | -0.60 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#112) | -0.97 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#115) | 0.447 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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