Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | PRST +120 MONT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -1.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.8 (-5.2) | 130.1 (+3.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -1.4 (-7.4) | 130.5 (+3.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -0.6 (-5.4) | 131.8 (+2.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.0 (-5.0) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#262) | -1.4 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#297) | -1.51 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#310) | -1.63 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#321) | 0.476 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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