Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -400 PRES +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +6 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -10.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -8.5 (-2.5) | 130.6 (-18.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -7.0 (-1.0) | 129.2 (-17.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -8.9 (-2.9) | 129.9 (-17.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -8.6 (-2.6) | 130.4 (-18.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-15 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-12 |
| Home | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#191) | -9.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#292) | -2.00 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#277) | -2.34 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#227) | 0.386 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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