Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +1200 TTU -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -17.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -13.5 (+2.5) | 134.3 (+0.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -12.8 (+1.8) | 132.8 (+2.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -14.7 (+3.7) | 134.8 (+0.2) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -14.0 (+3.0) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TTU 100 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TTU 60 – 59 KSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | TTU 71 – 63 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KSU 68 – 58 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-8 |
| Home | 6-12 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 63.2 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#235) | 15.5 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#219) | 2.80 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#237) | 3.65 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#214) | 0.583 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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