Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +130 UCD -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -1.2 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -1.3 (-13.3) | 155.3 (-17.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -0.4 (-11.6) | 149.9 (-11.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -1.1 (-13.1) | 151.7 (-13.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -1.4 (-13.4) | 152.2 (-14.2) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CSUN 94 – 78 UCD |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCD 89 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CSUN 65 – 62 UCD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CSUN 73 – 61 UCD |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCD 66 – 65 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 10-8 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-4 |
| Home | 4-7 | 4-3 |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#300) | -5.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#236) | -1.28 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#251) | -1.86 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#303) | 0.438 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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