Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | USA +110 CCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USA +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -2.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USA -0.2 (+3.8) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.8 (+4.8) | 140.9 (-4.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -0.6 (+4.6) | 143.7 (-7.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -0.3 (+4.3) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | USA 53 – 48 CCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | USA 84 – 59 CCU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CCU 85 – 81 USA |
| Mar 29, 2022 | CCU 69 – 68 USA |
| Feb 18, 2022 | USA 71 – 68 CCU |
Game Analysis
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