Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Pac-12 Conference · Gill Coliseum · February 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORST -2.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money ORST -120 / WSU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORST win
Actual ORST +2 134 Won
Massey ORST -0.9 (+1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 131.9 (+2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORST -1.5 (+0.5) 133.5 (+0.5) 58% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORST -0.7 (+1.3) 131.9 (+2.1) 55% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORST -1.7 (+0.3) 134.5 (-0.5) 61% ✓
Baseline ML ORST -0.7 (+1.3) 133.5 (+0.5) 55% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 ORST 74 – 64 WSU
Jan 5, 2026 WSU 81 – 67 ORST
Feb 7, 2025 ORST 82 – 74 WSU
Feb 9, 2024 WSU 64 – 58 ORST
Jan 5, 2024 WSU 65 – 58 ORST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORST WSU
Overall 20-13 14-13
Conference 10-10 7-12
Home 10-6 11-5
Away 4-6 3-6
Neutral 6-1 0-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 69.1 68.6
Avg Pts Against 68.4 67.4
Massey 1.8 (#134) 3.5 (#116)
Bradley-Terry 0.54 (#133) 0.96 (#101)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.98 (#114) 1.19 (#102)
RPI 0.494 (#177) 0.528 (#115)
Shooting & Four Factors ORST WSU
FG% 41.0% 41.6%
3PT% 35.2% 34.3%
REB / G 34.7 37.7
OREB / G 10.6 10.6
AST / TO 1.43 0.72
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 48.3%
TOV% 16.1% 21.6%
ORB% 29.2% 29.4%
FT Rate 27.0% 26.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 45.2%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 18.6%
DRB% 70.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 27.3% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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