Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -163 SBU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -2.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -1.1 (+9.9) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -2.3 (+8.7) | 134.6 (-5.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.5 (+8.5) | 141.4 (-12.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.1 (+8.9) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 11-4 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-1 |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#44) | 11.3 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#97) | 2.77 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#91) | 3.40 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#156) | 0.634 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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