Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NEV +180 BOIS -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -6.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -4.6 (+6.6) | 145.8 (+0.2) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.2 (+5.2) | 143.2 (+2.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.2 (+5.2) | 147.7 (-1.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.7 (+5.7) | 146.9 (-0.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#117) | 12.5 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#142) | 3.19 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#139) | 3.52 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#141) | 0.644 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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