Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -200 VAN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -6.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -5.9 (-2.9) | 155.1 (-12.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -4.1 (-1.1) | 148.8 (-5.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -5.4 (-2.4) | 153.3 (-10.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -6.3 (-3.3) | 154.7 (-11.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAN 88 – 80 UGA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UGA 79 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UGA 76 – 64 VAN |
| Jan 21, 2023 | VAN 85 – 82 UGA |
| Mar 10, 2022 | VAN 86 – 51 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#99) | 1.4 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#82) | -0.16 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#95) | 0.25 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#135) | 0.447 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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