Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -163 LT +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +2 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -7.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -6.9 (-4.9) | 130.5 (-18.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -4.9 (-2.9) | 129.6 (-17.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -6.0 (-4.0) | 133.2 (-21.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -6.7 (-4.7) | 131.2 (-19.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | UNT 74 – 46 LT |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNT 72 – 62 LT |
| Jan 12, 2023 | UNT 67 – 65 LT |
| Mar 11, 2022 | LT 42 – 36 UNT |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNT 56 – 49 LT |
Game Analysis
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