Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -900 WASH +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -15.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -12.5 (-0.5) | 148.5 (+11.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -12.2 (-0.2) | 148.1 (+11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -13.7 (-1.7) | 148.6 (+11.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -13.1 (-1.1) | 148.8 (+11.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 7-2 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#51) | -2.9 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#68) | -0.87 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#66) | -0.93 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#91) | 0.465 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 62.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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