I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money RMU -110 / YSU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual YSU +6 162 Lost
Massey RMU -2.5 (-8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 152.1 (+9.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -1.2 (-7.2) 147.8 (+14.2) 55% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -0.8 (-6.8) 142.8 (+19.2) 46% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -0.8 (-6.8) 147.6 (+14.4) 50% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -1.2 (-7.2) 148.2 (+13.8) 53% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 68 – 53 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 80 – 77 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 89 – 78 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 72 – 70 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU YSU
Overall 4-15 15-12
Conference 3-12 9-11
Home 3-6 10-5
Away 1-9 5-7
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 73.4
Avg Pts Against 79.8 75.0
Massey -7.4 (#279) -7.3 (#278)
Bradley-Terry -1.93 (#311) -1.38 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.38 (#303) -1.61 (#267)
RPI 0.431 (#271) 0.441 (#260)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU YSU
FG% 43.6% 42.0%
3PT% 35.7% 28.7%
REB / G 34.2 35.1
OREB / G 10.8 13.7
AST / TO 1.05 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.2% 47.3%
TOV% 18.8% 15.5%
ORB% 29.9% 35.1%
FT Rate 19.6% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 56.6%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 17.4%
DRB% 67.6% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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