Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | OU -1200 ISU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | OU -20.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -16.1 (-9.1) | 141.0 (+10.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -14.8 (-7.8) | 143.7 (+7.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -18.6 (-11.6) | 142.2 (+8.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -18.1 (-11.1) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | ISU 58 – 45 OU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OU 71 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | OU 61 – 50 ISU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | ISU 63 – 60 OU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | ISU 75 – 54 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 0-18 |
| Home | 10-3 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#19) | -3.5 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#10) | -1.29 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#18) | -1.69 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#24) | 0.460 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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