Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -150 DREX +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -1.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.9 (-4.9) | 139.2 (+4.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -1.3 (-3.3) | 135.8 (+8.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.1 (-4.1) | 138.5 (+5.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.7 (-4.7) | 138.5 (+5.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HOF 62 – 51 DREX |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOF 70 – 67 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2025 | DREX 60 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HOF 69 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | DREX 79 – 77 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-5 |
| Home | 7-3 | 3-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#150) | 1.8 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#104) | -0.17 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#131) | -0.02 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#53) | 0.470 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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