Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -225 DEP +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -3.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -3.7 (+6.3) | 130.2 (-4.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -3.4 (+6.6) | 129.6 (-3.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -4.4 (+5.6) | 131.2 (-5.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -4.2 (+5.8) | 130.6 (-4.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 80 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BTLR 82 – 63 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 5-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 2-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 2-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#127) | 1.5 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#144) | -0.33 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#116) | 0.00 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#195) | 0.426 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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