Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -225 PFW +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +27 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -7.9 (+19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -7.2 (+19.8) | 151.4 (-12.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -7.2 (+19.8) | 148.3 (-9.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -9.6 (+17.4) | 151.0 (-12.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -7.0 (+20.0) | 152.5 (-13.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PFW 83 – 76 DETM |
| Dec 14, 2025 | PFW 81 – 77 DETM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PFW 90 – 67 DETM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | DETM 79 – 78 PFW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 – 69 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-10 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#202) | -7.7 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#232) | -1.49 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#217) | -1.94 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#239) | 0.412 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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