Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -163 NICH +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -2.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -3.1 (+3.9) | 150.0 (-1.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -3.2 (+3.8) | 148.4 (+0.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -3.0 (+4.0) | 153.1 (-4.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.9 (+4.1) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 2, 2021 | SHSU 84 – 81 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 14-2 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-1 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#194) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#96) | -0.17 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#128) | -0.54 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#71) | 0.475 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.