Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | NICH -180 SHSU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -8.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -4.6 (-7.6) | 142.4 (+22.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -4.0 (-7.0) | 143.1 (+21.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -4.9 (-7.9) | 143.8 (+21.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -4.7 (-7.7) | 142.7 (+22.3) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2021 | SHSU 78 – 71 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#160) | -4.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#207) | 0.68 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#214) | 0.87 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#147) | 0.612 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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